BILL ADONGO

I AM AGAINTS STUPIDTY:

I challenge Ghanaian and some are saying “I do not know what I am doing”. No wander I have famous quotation, “it is impossible in nothing than possibility……………..to explain their ignorant, is better they access themselves than fraud of ignorant”. Have you forgotten I was block by medical report but vigorous intellectual force I was able to demoralize those critics in the medical report? Even if you are not aware of this, are you aware that I was condemned by senior citizen of Ghana that my CENTRAL POINT LAW is demerit and has no meaning, six years from now? To challenge them, I was able to develop CENTRAL PREDICTION THEORY, MINIMUM UNCERTAINTY THEORY, CENTRAL CREDIBILITY THEORY, STRATEGIC OPTION MODEL, and so on, through which they are now stealing from!

It being a disease to all GHANAIANS, currently most intellectuals condemns my CENTRAL POINT LAW to be impractical and demerit. To tell them, they are not normal and lack sense, I perfectly applied the CENTRAL POINT THEORY to produce an original and importance practical theories for the world to see. People come out with impractical theory from past centuries and their names are held in high esteem up to date even though it had not yet applied in any practical field. They should better assess themselves. To prove them that there is no one in Africa who can match me, I challenge you to produce impractical theorem and applied it to produce original practical theories that can match my own:  you could not do it. It is Shame to all Ghanaians. I am a committed Ghanaian but for now, I think I should be somewhere else! I bitterly warn those who are publishing my works in others journals by their name and my name. The will be sent to court and the will pay for the damage and imprison addition. I have not yet publish my works in any journal apart from google+, even though I made a promises not to publish my works on google+ again!

CENTRAL PREDICTION ESTIMATION

The Central Prediction is a major topic of econometric analysis to perfectly predict some economical variables and to determine the relationships between variables. The parameter C_t and Y_t are the observation for consumption and income respectively during period t, and t may take any value. The aim of the central prediction is to perfectly predict c₁, c₂, c₃,…………..,c_r from only Y_i. The most common thing is to assume that the data are generated by a model of the following (linear) form, that is;

C₁=a+a₀Y_i+ut

C₂=a+a₀Y_i+a₁c₁+u_t

C₃=a+a₀Y_i+a₁c₁+a₂c₂+u_t

………………………………………………………………

C_j=a+a₀Y_i+a₁c₁+a₂c₂+a₃c₃+…+a_j-1c_j-1

C_r=a+a₀Y_i+a₁c₁+a₂c₂+a₃c₃+…+a_j-1c_j-1+…+a_r-1c_r-1

For many years, and especially since the publication of my CENTRAL POINT LAW, which follow by my CENTRAL PREDICTION THEORY, the study of fixed investment will be the main concern. My contribution is to focus attention on changing the level of income. To say little the CENTRAL ECONOMETRICS which I have had invented has important revolution in all aspect of existing Econometrics. One of the key areas I am interested to change today is “INVENTORY INVESTMENT”.

AVERAGE INVENTORY INVESTMENT

To tell how kind of model I have been thinking to use in to solve extreme practical problem is, to consider one best analysis of QUATERLY INVENTORY CHANGES. For stock purchasing, goods-in-process, M is to postulated a model that assumed that, with respect to these stocks, producers’ plans are fulfilled, that is M^p_t=M_t. I used CENTRAL POINT LAW and PARTIAL AJUSTMENT MODEL.

AM_t=2αM_t

AM_t=2(1-α)M_t-1

A is denoted as average.

M_t=[2αM_t+2(1-α)M_t-1]/2

M_t=αM_t+(1-α)M_t-1

Applying the POINT VALUES INTERVAL LAW, we have;

M_t=ℓ_aαM_t+ℓ_s(1-α)M_t-1

Or

M_t=ℓ_sαM_t+ℓ_a(1-α)M_t-1

Fore each ℓ_a=2,3,4,…., correspondence ℓ_s= 0, -1, -2,….., respectively.

I specified the variable relevant to the equilibrium level of stock at the end of period t as following period output Q_t+1, the change in output from the current period to the following period Q_t+1-Q_t, the level of unfilled order at the end of period t, U_t, and the proportionate price change (P_t+1-P_t)/P_t+1. The equilibrium equation is thus,

M₁=a+a₁Q_t+1+u_t

M2=a+a₁Q_t+1+M₁(Q_t+1-Q_t)+u_t

M₃=a+a₁Q_t+1+M₁(Q_t+1-Q_t)+M₂(P_t+1-P_t)+u_t

M₄= a+a₁Q_t+1+M₁(Q_t+1-Q_t)+M₂(P_t+1-P_t)+M₃U_t+u_t

Also combination of my CENTRAL PREDICTION MODEL and PARTIAL ADJUSTMENT MODEL again, we have.

M₁=αa+αa₁Q_t+1+u_t

M2=αa+αa₁Q_t+1+αM₁(Q_t+1-Q_t)+u_t

M₃=αa+αa₁Q_t+1+αM₁(Q_t+1-Q_t)+αM₂(P_t+1-P_t)+u_t

M₄= αa+αa₁Q_t+1+αM₁(Q_t+1-Q_t)+αM₂(P_t+1-P_t)+αM₃U_t+u_t

The only thing make these models very original, important and value is to perfectly predicted M₁, M₂, M₃, and M₄ from Q_t+1,  Q_t+1-Q_t,  (P_t+1-P_t)/P_t+1,  and  U_t.

Again, the CENTRAL ECONOMETRICS is aimed at changing the existing theory of econometrics that simply solved extreme long standing practical problems that the existing theory of Econometrics cannot